Zorya Luhansk 2-0 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.18
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
13.08.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
05.03.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-3 HT 2-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
23.08.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-1 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
29.08.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
17.04.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 4-2 HT 3-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
2-0
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk beat Vorskla Poltava 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Zorya Luhansk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Zorya Luhansk had 57% of the ball to Vorskla Poltava's 43%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 1.33 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava?

Zorya Luhansk 2-0 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 31%, draw 31%, Vorskla Poltava 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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