Progreso vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
1-3
HT 0-2
Nacional de Football
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
URU
2-1
HT 2-0
Progreso
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football cruised past Progreso 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Progreso and 1.17 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Nacional de Football?
Progreso 0-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Progreso 25%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.