Progreso 0-3 Nacional de Football — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Uruguay - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✓ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 21:39
Match Result
Home
13%
6.41
Draw
19%
4.19
AwayVIEW
68%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
1%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Progreso The Market 16%
Signal
AWAY Nacional de Football The Market 71%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.64 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.19
2.09 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
Bad Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-0 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
19.09.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-1 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
23.05.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
18.02.2021 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
27.08.2020 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 2-0 Progreso Progreso URU
10.11.2019 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
REVIEW Progreso vs Nacional de Football
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nacional de Football made light work of Progreso 3-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Progreso against 1.17 for Nacional de Football.

Progreso vs Nacional de Football Result & Final Score

Progreso 0 - 3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Progreso vs Nacional de Football Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Progreso 13%, draw 19%, Nacional de Football 68%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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