Metropolitanos 1-1 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.20/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.73
+16% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.3 Crosses 17.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
212 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
26.08.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
12.03.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
16.07.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.05.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
23.11.2020 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.89 xG 1.23
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
151 Passes 395
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos and Deportivo Tachira couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 33% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 67%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.89 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.83 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Deportivo Tachira?

Metropolitanos 1-1 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 36%, draw 27%, Deportivo Tachira 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
30 Sep 2024
00:00 Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC Analysis →