Carabobo 1-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.08
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.8 Crosses 14.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.66 xG 0.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
275 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
31.03.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
01.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
12.05.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
01.08.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
22.04.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.42 xG 0.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
436 Passes 221
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo edged past Portuguesa FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Carabobo had 61% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 39%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.42 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carabobo and 0.33 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC?

Carabobo 1-0 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 45%, draw 30%, Portuguesa FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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