Queens Park 0-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
53%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.55
1/2
6%
23.4
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
11%
7.5
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
4.63
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.65
2/X
5%
13.25
Value flag · X/2 at 4.63 — our 22% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.5pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 51%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -24%
1.09/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.46
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
215 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 12.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Partick Thistle
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Corners 4
11.03.2025 Queens Park Queens Park 0-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
28.12.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
26.10.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 0-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
31.08.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
09.03.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 2-2 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
02.01.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-2 HT 1-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle nicked a narrow win over Queens Park 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queens Park and 2.17 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Partick Thistle?

Queens Park 0-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 28%, draw 19%, Partick Thistle 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Over 2.5
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