Partick Thistle 2-1 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.18
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
19%
3.92
X/2
5%
9.2
X/X
14%
6.03
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
14%
6.86
2/X
7%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.90/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.68
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
11.5 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Queens Park
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Corners 7
26.10.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 0-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
31.08.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
09.03.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 2-2 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
02.01.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-2 HT 1-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
25.11.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 3-0 HT 2-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKK
27.10.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle squeezed past Queens Park 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.00 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Queens Park?

Partick Thistle 2-1 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 49%, draw 27%, Queens Park 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Over 2.5
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