Raith Rovers 2-1 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.07
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
14%
6.19
X/2
15%
4.47
X/X
9%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.23
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.38/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.46
+25% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +125%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
252 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 71%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Livingston
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
26.10.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
31.08.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
20.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
21.07.2021 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKLK
03.04.2021 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
18.01.2020 Livingston Livingston 3-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers squeezed past Livingston 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.67 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Livingston?

Raith Rovers 2-1 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 31%, draw 25%, Livingston 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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