Ayr United 0-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.9
X/1
22%
3.62
X/2
5%
11.9
X/X
11%
5.91
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
8%
9.63
2/X
4%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.99/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.52
+3% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
205 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 124 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 2.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
5 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
09.04.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
02.01.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.10.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.08.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United and Greenock Morton fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ayr United at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ayr United and 1.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?

Ayr United 0-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 59%, draw 23%, Greenock Morton 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ayr United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ BTTS No
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