Greenock Morton 1-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.04
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
10%
14.9
X/1
7%
7.43
X/2
13%
4.2
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.72
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
0.95/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.46
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +128%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
09.04.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
02.01.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.10.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.08.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.04.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton and Ayr United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.67 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Greenock Morton 1-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 29%, draw 30%, Ayr United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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