Hamilton 3-2 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
7%
8.02
X/X
8%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.1
2/2
8%
5.57
2/X
9%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.67/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.74
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
346 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Airdrieonians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-4 HT 0-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
31.08.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
20.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
17.05.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
01.05.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
13.03.2004 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton edged past Airdrieonians 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hamilton and 1.00 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Airdrieonians?

Hamilton 3-2 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 53%, draw 27%, Airdrieonians 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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