Airdrieonians 0-4 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.55
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
14%
5.68
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.7
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 12% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.42/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.80
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
278 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hamilton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
31.08.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
20.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
17.05.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
01.05.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
13.03.2004 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
02.03.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton cruised past Airdrieonians 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Airdrieonians at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Airdrieonians and 0.83 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Hamilton?

Airdrieonians 0-4 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 43%, draw 25%, Hamilton 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Airdrieonians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✓ Over 2.5
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