Mısır U20 1-2 Yeni Zelanda U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.65
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
7%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 38% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mısır U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.50/0.00
-45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
Crosses 18.5
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mısır U20
1-2
AWAY Yeni Zelanda U20
1.62 xG 1.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 1
368 Passes 190
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mısır U20 vs Yeni Zelanda U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeni Zelanda U20 edged past Mısır U20 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mısır U20 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mısır U20 had 62% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda U20's 38%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.62 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Mısır U20 vs Yeni Zelanda U20?

Mısır U20 1-2 Yeni Zelanda U20 in the World Cup U20 on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mısır U20 vs Yeni Zelanda U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mısır U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mısır U20 49%, draw 24%, Yeni Zelanda U20 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mısır U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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