Panama U20 1-1 Ukrayna U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panama U20 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U20 EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panama U20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ukrayna U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.29 xG 2.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
363 Passes 475
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2019 Ukrayna U20 Ukrayna U20 4-1 HT 3-0 Panama U20 Panama U20 DK20
11.06.2005 Ukrayna U20 Ukrayna U20 3-1 HT 3-1 Panama U20 Panama U20 DK20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panama U20
1-1
AWAY Ukrayna U20
0.46 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
221 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panama U20 vs Ukrayna U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panama U20 and Ukrayna U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ukrayna U20 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Panama U20 had 44% of the ball to Ukrayna U20's 56%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.46 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ukrayna U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panama U20 and 3.50 for Ukrayna U20.

What was the final score of Panama U20 vs Ukrayna U20?

Panama U20 1-1 Ukrayna U20 in the World Cup U20 on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panama U20 vs Ukrayna U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Panama U20 23%, draw 28%, Ukrayna U20 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ukrayna U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ukrayna U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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