Lillehammer 1-4 Kongsvinger II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.05
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
43%
2.58
4-5 Goals
25%
2.22
6+ Goals
17%
3.03
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.58 — our 43% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.5pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.4pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.9pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lillehammer EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger II EU Bookmakers 16%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.39/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/4.41
-56% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lillehammer
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kongsvinger II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
12.07.2022 Kongsvinger II Kongsvinger II 5-1 HT 3-0 Lillehammer Lillehammer NOR4
03.07.2022 Lillehammer Lillehammer 0-2 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger II Kongsvinger II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lillehammer
1-4
AWAY Kongsvinger II
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lillehammer vs Kongsvinger II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger II swept aside Lillehammer 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Lillehammer carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lillehammer had 59% of the ball to Kongsvinger II's 41%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lillehammer and 3.50 for Kongsvinger II.

What was the final score of Lillehammer vs Kongsvinger II?

Lillehammer 1-4 Kongsvinger II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lillehammer vs Kongsvinger II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lillehammer win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Lillehammer 68%, draw 14%, Kongsvinger II 18%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lillehammer) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lillehammer) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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