Lilleström II vs Elverum Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lilleström II v Elverum — Team-Based Signals
Lilleström II 4-2 Elverum — Actual Match Statistics
Lilleström II beat Elverum 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Elverum at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Lilleström II had 58% of the ball to Elverum's 42%, shots finished 16-13.
What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Elverum?
Lilleström II 4-2 Elverum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Elverum?
Before kick-off our model rated an Elverum win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 17%, draw 23%, Elverum 60%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elverum) went the other way.