Kairat U19 1-4 Real Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
67%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
8.72
2-3 Goals
29%
2.4
4-5 Goals
32%
2.25
6+ Goals
13%
3.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
5%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.4pp
67%
Away Win
85%
-17.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.0pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat U19 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 91%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.48/0.34
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 544 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kairat U19
1-4
AWAY Real Madrid U19
11 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kairat U19 vs Real Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 cruised past Kairat U19 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 11-26.

What was the final score of Kairat U19 vs Real Madrid U19?

Kairat U19 1-4 Real Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat U19 vs Real Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kairat U19 10%, draw 23%, Real Madrid U19 67%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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