Empoli 0-3 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Oct 2024

Empoli
0-3 HT 0-0
Inter
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.95
Over
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No Pick
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.52
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.4
6+
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.75
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
9%
20.6
X/1
8%
15.05
X/2
11%
3.44
X/X
12%
5.95
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.71
2/X
5%
19.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 70%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
0.98/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.92
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 85%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
17.8 Crosses 22.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Inter
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.71 xG 2.13
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
346 Passes 513
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 45
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
24.09.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
23.04.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
23.01.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.05.2022 Inter Inter 4-2 HT 2-2 Empoli Empoli İTA
19.01.2022 Inter Inter 3-2 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-3
AWAY Inter
0.26 xG 1.10
22% Ball Possession 78%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
162 Passes 686
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter cruised past Empoli 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Empoli had 22% of the ball to Inter's 78%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.26 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Empoli and 2.17 for Inter.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Inter?

Empoli 0-3 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Empoli 20%, draw 26%, Inter 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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