Venezia vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezia v Udinese — Team-Based Signals
Venezia vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Udinese
İTA
3-0
HT 1-0
Venezia
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Venezia
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Udinese
İTA
Venezia 3-2 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics
Venezia squeezed past Udinese 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Venezia found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Venezia had 57% of the ball to Udinese's 43%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.39 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Venezia's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Venezia and 1.75 for Udinese.
What was the final score of Venezia vs Udinese?
Venezia 3-2 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezia vs Udinese?
Before kick-off our model rated an Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Venezia 35%, draw 28%, Udinese 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.