Magesi 2-2 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.37
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.1pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magesi EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 55%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.83
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
Crosses 19.7
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magesi
2-2
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.27 xG 1.76
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 9
73 Passes 514
55% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Magesi vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magesi and Kaizer Chiefs shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kaizer Chiefs at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magesi had 24% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 76%, shots finished 4-26, expected goals 0.27 to 1.76.

What was the final score of Magesi vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Magesi 2-2 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magesi vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Magesi 23%, draw 28%, Kaizer Chiefs 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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