Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 33% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-15.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.48/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.23
+31% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +67%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
14.3 Crosses 13.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Cape Town City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.86 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
396 Passes 201
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
24.12.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
04.04.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
05.08.2022 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-2 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
27.04.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
20.11.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0
AWAY Cape Town City
1.30 xG 0.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
405 Passes 292
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns swept aside Cape Town City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 56% of the ball to Cape Town City's 44%, shots finished 10-2, expected goals 1.30 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town City?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 54%, draw 24%, Cape Town City 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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