Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.62
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 60%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.82/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.58
+27% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Persepolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.09.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
24.05.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 4-3 HT 0-3 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
13.03.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
19.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 HT 1-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
14.12.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
23.04.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Persepolis 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Persepolis at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.50 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 21%, draw 32%, Persepolis 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Persepolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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