FC Astana 3-2 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-14.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.7pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
2.18/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.74
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
22.07.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
28.05.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
23.10.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 5-1 HT 3-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
21.05.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
18.06.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana nicked a narrow win over Atyrau 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Astana and 0.50 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Atyrau?

FC Astana 3-2 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 55%, draw 25%, Atyrau 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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