BVSC 0-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

BVSC
0-1 HT 0-0
Ujpest
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
59%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Ujpest win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
59%
Away Win
60%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVSC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -34%
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
166 · 56% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH BVSC vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest squeezed past BVSC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ujpest as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of BVSC vs Ujpest?

BVSC 0-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVSC vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split BVSC 19%, draw 22%, Ujpest 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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