Ajka 3-3 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
41%
Away Win
51%
-10.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 56%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2024 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 0-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
29.10.2023 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
26.02.2023 Ajka Ajka 4-1 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
28.08.2022 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
06.03.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
12.09.2021 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
3-3
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka and Nyiregyhaza Spartacus couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nyiregyhaza Spartacus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajka had 41% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 59%, shots finished 16-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajka and 1.17 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Ajka 3-3 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajka 29%, draw 30%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 41%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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