Smederevo 1-3 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
1.74
Over Pick
59%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
19%
+14.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-10.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
54%
-12.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
46%
+12.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smederevo The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar The Market 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -59%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smederevo
1-3
AWAY Novi Pazar
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Smederevo vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar saw off Smederevo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Smederevo had 50% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 50%.

What was the final score of Smederevo vs Novi Pazar?

Smederevo 1-3 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smederevo vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Smederevo 34%, draw 22%, Novi Pazar 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRBK More Serbia - Cup
30 Oct 2024
15:00 Zemun vs Javor Ivanjica Analysis →
15:00 Dubocica vs Mladost Lucani Analysis →
15:00 Graficar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Analysis →
15:00 Novi Sad vs Spartak Subotica Analysis →
15:00 Indija vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Analysis →
15:00 OFK Vrsac vs Backa Topola Analysis →