Race 3-2 Brezice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

Race
3-2 HT 0-1
Brezice
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.3pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Race EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezice EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Race
3-2
AWAY Brezice
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Race vs Brezice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Race edged past Brezice 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Brezice at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Race had 48% of the ball to Brezice's 52%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Race vs Brezice?

Race 3-2 Brezice in the Slovenia - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Race vs Brezice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Race 27%, draw 28%, Brezice 45%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brezice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brezice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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