Rudar Velenje 1-2 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 42%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aluminij
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 1-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
21.08.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
04.07.2020 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-3 HT 1-2 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.02.2020 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN
06.10.2019 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-2 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
28.01.2015 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje HAZ
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij nicked a narrow win over Rudar Velenje 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Aluminij made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminij led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rudar Velenje and 1.50 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Aluminij?

Rudar Velenje 1-2 Aluminij in the Slovenia - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 33%, draw 29%, Aluminij 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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