Lugazi Municipal 1-0 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 30 Oct 2024

Lugazi Municipal
1-0 HT 0-0
NEC
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Lugazi Municipal vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugazi Municipal v NEC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 55%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Lugazi Municipal 1-0 NEC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
1-0
AWAY NEC
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal nicked a narrow win over NEC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was NEC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 42% of the ball to NEC's 58%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?

Lugazi Municipal 1-0 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 26%, draw 25%, NEC 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NEC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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30 Oct 2024
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