Uganda Police 2-1 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 30 Oct 2024

Uganda Police
2-1
Kiboga Young
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Uganda Police vs Kiboga Young Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
56%
-18.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uganda Police v Kiboga Young — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 21%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-32% / -82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.5

Uganda Police 2-1 Kiboga Young — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
2-1
AWAY Kiboga Young
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda Police nicked a narrow win over Kiboga Young 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Uganda Police found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uganda Police had 47% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 53%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Kiboga Young?

Uganda Police 2-1 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 38%, draw 30%, Kiboga Young 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uganda Police) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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