Egaleo 0-3 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

Egaleo
0-3 HT 0-2
PAOK
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
60%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.6pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.7pp
60%
Away Win
85%
-25.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
24%
+20.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
76%
-20.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egaleo EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +62%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
212 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egaleo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY PAOK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
10.03.2007 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 2-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
11.11.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
12.02.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 1-0 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
25.09.2005 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 2-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
25.05.2005 PAOK PAOK 2-4 HT 1-2 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
15.01.2005 Egaleo Egaleo 2-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Egaleo
0-3
AWAY PAOK
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Egaleo vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK swept aside Egaleo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Egaleo had 36% of the ball to PAOK's 64%, shots finished 6-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Egaleo and 1.50 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Egaleo vs PAOK?

Egaleo 0-3 PAOK in the Greece - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egaleo vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Egaleo 18%, draw 23%, PAOK 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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