Atletico Baleares 2-0 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.04.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
08.01.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
20.02.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
28.11.2021 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
2-0
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares saw off Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 38% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 62%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Baleares had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Baleares and 1.00 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Atletico Baleares 2-0 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 33%, draw 26%, Gimnastic Tarragona 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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