UD Logrones 1-3 Ponferradina — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Spain - Copa del Rey, 30 Oct 2025

UD Logrones Elo 1661 · World #480 (clubs) WDWLL→
1 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Ponferradina Elo 1704 · World #321 (clubs) DLWWD→
📅30/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2025/2026

UD Logrones vs Ponferradina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 00:08
Match Result
Home
25%
3.36
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
61%
1.61
Over
39%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

UD Logrones v Ponferradina — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME UD Logrones The Market 30%
Signal
AWAY Ponferradina The Market 49%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.85 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5 Yellow Cards 3

UD Logrones vs Ponferradina Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
288 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.03.2021 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-2 HT 0-1 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS2
02.12.2020 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-2 HT 0-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2

UD Logrones 1-3 Ponferradina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
1 - 3
AWAY Ponferradina
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW UD Logrones vs Ponferradina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ponferradina saw off UD Logrones 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: UD Logrones had 64% of the ball to Ponferradina's 36%, shots finished 11-6.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UD Logrones and 2.00 for Ponferradina.

UD Logrones vs Ponferradina Result & Final Score

UD Logrones 1 - 3 Ponferradina in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

UD Logrones vs Ponferradina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 25%, draw 30%, Ponferradina 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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