FC Elva 1-2 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Elva EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 66%
+68% / +68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
5.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/0.00
+150% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Elva
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2021 FC Elva FC Elva 1-2 HT 1-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST2
14.07.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Elva FC Elva EST2
30.05.2021 FC Elva FC Elva 0-4 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST2
POST-MATCH FC Elva vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev nicked a narrow win over FC Elva 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tallinna Kalev as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Elva and 2.33 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Elva 1-2 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Elva 21%, draw 22%, Tallinna Kalev 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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