Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Nomme United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2022 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 5-1 HT 3-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
04.09.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 4-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST2
28.04.2022 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 4-2 HT 2-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
10.04.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 3-2 HT 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0-1
AWAY Nomme United
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme United edged past Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Harju Jalgpallikool at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 48% of the ball to Nomme United's 52%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.50 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nomme United?

Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harju Jalgpallikool win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 43%, draw 24%, Nomme United 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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