Baghdad 0-1 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 30 Oct 2025

Baghdad
0-1 HT 0-0
Al Najaf
📅30/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Baghdad vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baghdad v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baghdad EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +92%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Baghdad vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najaf squeezed past Baghdad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Najaf as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Baghdad vs Al Najaf?

Baghdad 0-1 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 30%, draw 26%, Al Najaf 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najaf) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ BTTS Yes
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