Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.83/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.19
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Diala
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.04.2025 Diala Diala 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya edged past Diala 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%, draw 25%, Diala 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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