30/10/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
25%
Draw
25%
25%
Away Win
19%
51%
Under 2.5
56%
49%
Over 2.5
44%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Diala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diala
EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+15% /
+15%
1.83/0.93
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.80/1.19
+12%
/
-10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
+8%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
352 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
259 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Diala
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Quwa Al Jawiya edged past Diala 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%, draw 25%, Diala 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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30 Oct 2025