Diala 2-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 16 Apr 2025

Diala
2-1 HT 1-0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
📅16/04/2025 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Diala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
19%
+14.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
55%
-14.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.7pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diala v Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 58%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.99/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+113% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
175 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Diala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala edged past Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Diala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Diala 2-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraq - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diala 34%, draw 26%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ BTTS Yes
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