Erbil vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erbil v Naft — Team-Based Signals
Naft nicked a narrow win over Erbil 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Naft made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Erbil vs Naft?
Erbil 2-3 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erbil vs Naft?
Before kick-off our model rated an Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Erbil 34%, draw 29%, Naft 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.