16/04/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Al Zawraa vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
29%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
18%
57%
Under 2.5
59%
43%
Over 2.5
41%
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
56%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Zawraa v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Zawraa
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% /
-22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-34% /
-34%
1.73/1.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/3.00
+0%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+46%
/
-51%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
333 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
285 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Zawraa vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Zawraa beat Al Karma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Al Karma?
Al Zawraa 2-0 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Al Karma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 43%, draw 29%, Al Karma 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
16 Apr 2025