Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 37%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
0.83/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.18
-40% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 4.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY East Fife
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 11
3 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 East Fife East Fife 5-0 HT 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
13.04.2024 East Fife East Fife 1-4 HT 1-3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
17.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 East Fife East Fife İK2
22.12.2023 East Fife East Fife 0-3 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
21.11.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 4-2 HT 1-1 East Fife East Fife İK2
18.03.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and East Fife couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.83 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs East Fife?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 East Fife in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 40%, draw 24%, East Fife 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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