East Fife 1-4 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Fife EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.32/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.69
-8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +93%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Fife
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 East Fife East Fife İK2
22.12.2023 East Fife East Fife 0-3 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
21.11.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 4-2 HT 1-1 East Fife East Fife İK2
18.03.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
10.12.2022 East Fife East Fife 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
15.10.2022 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-4 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
POST-MATCH East Fife vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic ran out comfortable winners over East Fife 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was East Fife at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for East Fife and 1.50 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of East Fife vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

East Fife 1-4 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Fife vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split East Fife 46%, draw 26%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 29%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Fife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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