Peterhead 2-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +8%
1.70/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.84
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +77%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
17.02.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 3-3 HT 3-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
23.12.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 1-2 HT 1-2 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
07.10.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-3 HT 0-2 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
01.05.2021 Peterhead Peterhead 1-2 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İSK1
06.04.2021 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
28.11.2020 Peterhead Peterhead 0-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead nicked a narrow win over Forfar Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peterhead as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forfar Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Peterhead and 1.67 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Forfar Athletic?

Peterhead 2-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 45%, draw 29%, Forfar Athletic 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterhead), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterhead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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