Dumbarton 1-0 Clyde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Clyde EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.50/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.47
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Clyde
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
17.02.2024 Clyde Clyde 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
23.12.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 4-4 HT 2-2 Clyde Clyde İK2
07.10.2023 Clyde Clyde 0-4 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
26.11.2022 Clyde Clyde 1-3 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKK
30.04.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-1 Clyde Clyde İK1
12.02.2022 Clyde Clyde 1-3 HT 1-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Clyde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton edged past Clyde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dumbarton as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Dumbarton and 1.50 for Clyde.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Clyde?

Dumbarton 1-0 Clyde in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Clyde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 41%, draw 27%, Clyde 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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