Barwell 3-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.74/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
+12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
0W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Barwell Barwell 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
05.08.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
3-1
AWAY AFC Sudbury
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barwell vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell beat AFC Sudbury 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Barwell found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Barwell had 56% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 44%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barwell and 0.50 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Barwell vs AFC Sudbury?

Barwell 3-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barwell 39%, draw 26%, AFC Sudbury 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ BTTS No
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