Ilkeston Town 2-1 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.72/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.03
+58% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town nicked a narrow win over Hebburn Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Hebburn Town?

Ilkeston Town 2-1 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 51%, draw 22%, Hebburn Town 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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