Morpeth Town 3-3 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.70/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.76
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Matlock Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
07.01.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
20.08.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town and Matlock Town couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Matlock Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Morpeth Town and 1.00 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Matlock Town?

Morpeth Town 3-3 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matlock Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 33%, draw 23%, Matlock Town 44%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Matlock Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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