Workington 0-1 Macclesfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
45%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+12.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.0pp
45%
Away Win
62%
-17.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 67%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.36/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.22
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Macclesfield
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.12.2023 Workington Workington 0-0 HT 0-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Macclesfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield edged past Workington 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Workington vs Macclesfield?

Workington 0-1 Macclesfield in the England - Non League Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Macclesfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Workington 30%, draw 25%, Macclesfield 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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