Worksop Town 2-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
37%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+12.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-7.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.60
+131% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town squeezed past Stockton Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Stockton Town?

Worksop Town 2-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 43%, draw 20%, Stockton Town 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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