Cacereno 2-0 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.34/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.18
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
304 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Illescas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
17.12.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-0 HT 1-0 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
2-0
AWAY Illescas
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno saw off Illescas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cacereno had 55% of the ball to Illescas's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Illescas?

Cacereno 2-0 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 47%, draw 28%, Illescas 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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