30/11/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Real Avila vs Numancia Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
27%
Draw
32%
35%
Away Win
38%
61%
Under 2.5
66%
39%
Over 2.5
34%
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
61%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Avila v Numancia — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Real Avila
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Numancia
EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+7%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+5%
/
+1%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
277 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
354 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Real Avila vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Real Avila and Numancia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Real Avila vs Numancia?
Real Avila 0-0 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Numancia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 38%, draw 27%, Numancia 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Avila) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Real Avila)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
30 Nov 2024